Equity Percentiles · Reading the Bands
How MARS uses this
This page is the location question — where in the envelope are you? — and the overlay is the instrument that answers it. The read is positional first: median tracking is the system behaving as modeled, P75 with controlled drawdown is strength, P90 is quarantined from expectations by rule.
How it benefits you
You stop grading months by feel. A flat quarter inside the band stops causing panic edits, a hot streak at P85 stops justifying size increases, and genuine model breaks get caught by classification instead of by pain.
The location instrument: live equity placed inside its own percentile envelope, read by position before emotion.
Reading the bands
Tracking near the median means the system is behaving as modeled. Sitting at P75/P90 with controlled drawdown may be early alpha — or favorable variance awaiting confirmation. Drifting toward P25/P10 raises the question of whether live EV is running below the modeled edge, or whether execution drag is bleeding the difference.
Where it lives
This page expands one card of the Equity Percentiles page into its own reference. For orientation, the module's own framing: Percentile equity paths — P10, P25, median, P75, P90 — define the realistic range of outcomes under the system's own rules. Live equity is read against those bands, replacing 'I'm behind' and 'I'm ahead' feelings with a measured position.
Band crossings
Sitting at P40 is information; sliding from P60 to P40 over four reviews is a story. The band read tracks trajectory across review points, because a stable middle-band system and a slowly sinking one can occupy the same row this week while deserving opposite responses next month.
Reference
Equity percentile fan across 50,000 simulated paths. Violet is P10-P90, blue is P25-P75, the gold dash is the median, and the green line is live equity drawn against the envelope.
Doctrine
Connected inside MARS
Go deeper
Deep dive — 01
The bands are weekly rankings, not routes — and the P95 flattening at the top is the target cap, not a ceiling on ambition.
Read the full brief →
Deep dive — 02
Sitting at P40 is information. Sliding to P40 is a story. Neither is a forecast.
Read the full brief →
Deep dive — 03
Above start, above prior period, already completed, locked — the population shares a fan chart hides.
Read the full brief →
One price. Eleven workbooks, three TradingView indicators, and the full manual library — $497.
