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Montex Alpha Rail System
$497

Use Case 01 — Forex Strategy Evaluation

Does this strategy have real edge?

The workflow

Evaluation as a pipeline, not an opinion.

A candidate strategy enters as branch-tagged trade evidence and leaves as a graded answer.

  • Branch probabilities and payoff structure establish the expectancy model.
  • EV decomposition separates the edge from the variance around it.
  • Rolling stability windows test whether the edge persists or was one regime's gift.
  • Outlier-robustness testing asks what remains when the best trades are removed.

The workflow

Evaluation as a pipeline, not an opinion.

A candidate strategy enters as branch-tagged trade evidence and leaves as a graded answer.

01Branch probabilities and payoff structure establish the expectancy model.
02EV decomposition separates the edge from the variance around it.
03Rolling stability windows test whether the edge persists or was one regime's gift.
04Outlier-robustness testing asks what remains when the best trades are removed.

The core idea

After deployment

The grading never stops.

The Weekly Scorecard keeps grading the strategy live, week after week — GREEN/YELLOW/RED expectancy tags, branch EV, and net-of-fees verification. Evaluation isn't a gate a strategy passes once; it's a condition it has to keep meeting.

Modules involved

03

The evaluation stack.

The Advanced EV Analytics Lab carries the decomposition, CP3's EV Scorecard supplies the live layers, and the Monte Carlo Lab stress-tests survivability before real capital is committed.

Reference

The working pipeline

StepInstrumentOutput
Log branch-tagged tradesPerformance TrackerClean R evidence with regime context
Compute branch expectancyWeekly ScorecardGraded EV per branch, not one blurred average
Benchmark against simulationMonte Carlo Lab + MC_BenchmarkWhere the live curve sits inside the simulated percentile fan
Deliver the verdictEV doctrineKeep, adjust, or retire — decided by arithmetic, not attachment

Connected inside MARS

This module doesn't work alone.

Connected — 01

All eight use cases

Open system page →

Connected — 02

Advanced EV Analytics Lab

Open system page →

Connected — 03

Weekly Trading Scorecard

Open system page →

Go deeper

Operator briefs on this territory.

Deep dive — 01

Profitable and edge-bearing are two different claims.

The account is up. That is a fact about the sample, not yet a fact about the strategy.

Read the full brief →

Deep dive — 02

Keep, adjust, retire — and why adjust is the dangerous one.

Three verdicts are available. One of them is chosen far too often, and it is not the obvious one.

Read the full brief →

Deep dive — 03

Delete the best trade. If the edge disappears, it was never the edge.

A mean can be bought by one trade. Four recomputations show whether yours was.

Read the full brief →

Every module ships in the complete MARS package.

One price. Eleven workbooks, three TradingView indicators, and the full manual library — $497.

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