Trend Continuation · Agreement / Veto Reading

Agreement, partial agreement, and veto.

Score lines

Bull + Bear

Trade threshold

≥ 5, with consensus

Indecision zone

Both at 2–3

Presets

The key idea

Worked example

Each closed trade logs its worst adverse excursion and best favorable excursion. The lab plots them into quadrants and pairs the picture with capture efficiency, giveback, and fee drag - then the EV Driver Diagnostics rank which repair (entry location, coefficient, trail logic, cost avoidance) would move net expectancy most.

Every trade plotted by pain taken (MAE) versus opportunity generated (MFE). The four quadrants diagnose entry precision and exit management at a glance.

Two scores at once

The pane argues both sides before you pick one.

A green line counts bullish filters currently passing, a red line counts bearish ones — each on the same 0–6 scale. Dominance is the regime read: green stacked high is a bullish continuation regime, red stacked high a bearish one. Both lines hovering at two or three is the pane's way of saying the market has no argument worth joining — indecision, stay flat. The two counts are independent. Each line counts the filters passing for its own direction, and neither draws from a shared pool of six, so Bull 5 alongside Bear 1 is a perfectly legal reading and the pair does not have to sum to six. Reading two scores instead of one net number preserves exactly the information a single line destroys: whether the market is quiet, or loudly disagreeing with itself.

The split veto

A high total with no consensus is still a pass.

The workflow rule is precise: trade entry arrows only when the directional score — BullScore for longs, BearScore for shorts — reaches 5. A total of five made of Bull 3 and Bear 2 fails the test even though five filters are firing, because there is no consensus, only activity. The distinction is the veto's sharpest edge: confluence means the engines agree on a direction, and agreement is the only thing the stack is allowed to reward.

Presets as posture

Normal Day and Trend Day are the same stack at two strictness levels.

The manual ships two operating presets, matched to the branch doctrine of the day:

Normal Day — RSI baseline, ADX floor relaxed to 18–20, EMA alignment and ATR slope off. More arrows, some weaker; acceptable because Normal management partials 50% at 1R and caps the runner at 2R.
Trend Day — MFI on (majors, active sessions), ADX 20–25, EMA alignment and ATR slope required, MTF calculation on so a 5m chart obeys 15m logic. Very few signals, nearly all aligned with higher-timeframe structure — the evidence quality the trend branches' runner doctrine demands.
The preset is chosen at the start of the day from ATR slope, higher-timeframe alignment, and session momentum — then obeyed, not renegotiated per trade.

Veto economics

A cheap no is the most valuable output the stack produces.

The veto's value is asymmetric: it costs one skipped trade that might have worked, and it saves the full-R losses that clustered where the engines disagreed. Backtested across the evidence base, disagreement zones carry materially worse expectancy — the veto simply refuses to fund the worst-performing regime the stack can identify.

Reference

Score bands and their instructions

Score	Grade	Line color	Instruction
5–6	A-grade	Green	Continuation regime — arrows tradeable with directional consensus
3–4	B-grade	Yellow	Mixed signals — wait, or bank earlier if already in
0–2	Fail	Red	Most filters disagree — avoid continuation entries
High but split	No consensus	—	Pass: activity on both sides is not agreement

Before you go deeper

Connected inside MARS

This module doesn't work alone.

Connected — 01

Trend Continuation (full page)

Open system page →

Connected — 02

The Four-Engine Stack

Open system page →

Connected — 03

Branch Logic

Open system page →

Go deeper

Operator briefs on this territory.

Deep dive — 01

Bull and bear are scored in parallel, every bar, and that is where the veto comes from.

One line can say strong or weak. Two lines can say the market is arguing.

Read the full brief →

Deep dive — 02

ADX awards its point to bulls and bears simultaneously, because it has no direction to give.

One component contributes to both totals. The discrimination is done by the other five.

Read the full brief →

Deep dive — 03

Three grade bands, not two — and the middle one is the only place judgment is authorised.

Five and above clears. Two and below refuses. The band between them is your call, on the record.

Read the full brief →

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