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Branch Logic — Trend Partial

Bank some now. Ride the rest. The compromise branch.

How MARS uses this

MARS is a closed loop, not a pipeline. Trades produce evidence, evidence produces weekly grades, grades move gate state, gate state feeds the throttle, and the throttle governs what the next execution is allowed to be. No stage is optional and no stage runs on memory or mood - each one reads the outputs of the stage before it.

How it benefits you

Discipline stops depending on willpower. Because every decision point consumes the previous stage's output, skipping a step becomes visible instead of invisible - and the system keeps improving itself, since every completed loop leaves the evidence base one cycle richer than it found it.

EXECUTEclearance + entryCAPTUREevidence + journalSCOREweekly EV gradeGATEcapital stateTHROTTLEdeployment mathDEPLOYgoverned riskEVIDENCEevery cycle feeds the next

The MARS operating loop: execute, capture, score, gate, throttle, deploy - every cycle feeding evidence into the next.

Worked example

CONTEXT & VALIDATIONVolatility · Regime · Diagnostics · QADEPLOYMENT RAILGate Map · Cycle Command · Throttle · TiersEVIDENCE COREJournal · Scorecard · EV Lab · MAE/MFEevidence flows upauthority flows down

The three-layer module ecosystem: evidence flows up from the core, authority flows down the deployment rail, context validates from above.

Doctrine

Some monetization now, some continuation later.

Trend-regime management: break-even at 1.6R, partial banked, remainder managed with ATR-trail continuation logic (coefficient typically ×1.5 volatility-adjusted through the VIP/VDM layer). Second-highest default weight at 33.75%.

  • The 1.6R hit flag is the trend unlock checkpoint — are trend branches actually reaching the continuation stage?
  • Execution signature to audit: good MFE with poor capture or high giveback means the trail is choking or surrendering the runner.
  • Coefficient decisions route through the Volatility Distance Matrix — never eyeballed from raw ATR.

Failure pattern

The choked trend and the surrendered runner.

Two opposite mistakes destroy this branch: coefficients too tight (a valid trend is stopped in noise) and coefficients too loose (a mature runner gives back its open profit). The Giveback and Capture Efficiency metrics in the MAE/MFE Lab exist precisely to catch which mistake you're making.

The checkpoint story

Reading a Trend Partial week.

The week's quality shows in the checkpoint ladder: survival to 1R, the 1.6R trend unlock, and what happened after. Strong 1.6R conversion with weak final R means the trail is surrendering runners; weak 1.6R conversion means entries or regime selection are the problem, not the trail.

  • Capture efficiency and giveback are read as a pair — high MFE with high giveback is a trail-width problem, not an entry problem.
  • Coefficient audit: every trail decision is logged, so a bad month can be traced to specific coefficient choices instead of vibes.
  • Fee and swap drag get extra attention here: longer holds make Trend Partial the first branch where friction quietly compounds.

The excursion audit

04

MFE capture is this branch's report card.

Trend Partial's whole thesis — bank some, ride the rest — is testable: the MAE/MFE lab measures how much of each trade's favorable excursion the partial-and-runner structure actually monetized. If capture ratios sag, the partial level is wrong or the runner management is leaking, and the branch gets repaired on evidence instead of debated on feel.

Doctrine

Connected inside MARS

This module doesn't work alone.

Go deeper

Operator briefs on this territory.

Every module ships in the complete MARS package.

One price. Eleven workbooks, three TradingView indicators, and the full manual library — $497.