The avoidance problem
The fat-tail branch is unpleasant to trade, and that's why it gets skipped.
Trend No-Partial is the true fat-tail accelerator: no partial cushion, full position to the trail unlock, the highest variance in the family — and a losing experience most of the time it's deployed, because fat tails pay rarely by definition. An operator left to discretion will systematically under-trade it, one defensible skip at a time: the trend looks late, the week's already green, the last three TNPs stopped out. Each skip is locally reasonable. The aggregate is a system that has quietly amputated its geometric-growth engine while still reporting expectancy against a profile that assumes it's there. The quota's insight is that this drift is invisible week to week and predictable in aggregate — so it gets governed, not trusted.

