Failure one
Over-trust: reading intermediate diagnostics as instructions.
The SDE's outputs look decisive. A z-scored drift reading with a stated conviction level and a final interpretation line has the surface texture of a directive, and an operator who has stopped distinguishing diagnosis from prescription will start trading it — increasing size when the structural read is constructive, standing down when it is not, effectively promoting the engine into an allocation system it was never built to be. The specific danger is the word intermediate. The SDE's pipeline exposes many values that are inputs to a conclusion rather than the conclusion itself: a single table's rolling value, a stability flag, a drift before its z-score has established whether it matters. Each of those looks like a finding. Acting on them individually means acting on a half-finished computation, which is worse than acting on no computation at all.
| structural reading | over-trust | correct posture | under-use |
|---|---|---|---|
| EV drift positive, high conviction | size up beyond the gate's tier | confidence inside the tier | noted, nothing changes |
| RAER weak, RAPF strong | cut the branch immediately | branch becomes review priority | logged, reviewed next quarter |
| Stability flag unstable | act on the unstable read | distrust the read, not the metric | flag ignored entirely |
| ACCEL slowing, DD stable | overhaul the plan | open the question at the month | surface PnL still fine, move on |
Over-trust and under-use are not different severities of one mistake. They are opposite misreadings of the layer's job, and each produces its own characteristic damage.

