The static lie
Fixed-risk simulation benchmarks a rule-breaker.
The standard retail Monte Carlo assumes the same risk fraction on every trade of every path, forever — through a −25% drawdown, through a cold streak, through everything. But the live MARS operator is forbidden from behaving that way: at −13% the gate caps deployment, at −19% it compresses further, and the tier allocator is re-pricing every cycle against evidence. Comparing that governed live account to an ungoverned simulation produces systematic nonsense in both directions — the simulation drawdowns run deeper than yours ever could, and its recoveries run faster, because it never de-risks. A benchmark that models behavior you're not allowed to exhibit is not a benchmark. It's a control group from a different experiment.

