CP3 — Layer 02 · Aggregation
How MARS uses this
The Weekly Scorecard converts branch hit probabilities into EV and tags each week by threshold. The rolling line is what MARS actually trusts: single-week readings are treated as noise until the rolling window confirms direction. RED weeks trigger doctrine - reduced aggression and review - rather than negotiation.
How it benefits you
You learn to distinguish a bad week from a broken system. Variance stops triggering rule changes, and genuine expectancy decay gets caught while it is still one line on a chart instead of a hole in the account. The GREEN/YELLOW/RED language also makes weekly review fast and unambiguous.
Weekly EV tagged GREEN / YELLOW / RED against expectancy thresholds, with the rolling-EV line separating persistent edge from one lucky week.
What it aggregates
The engine compresses a week of Journal evidence into the numbers that actually drive decisions — never relying on total P&L alone.
Why weeks
Daily results are dominated by variance; monthly results react too slowly to structural change. The weekly window is where expectancy becomes readable — which is why week tags, not daily P&L, set the tone for review posture across the system.
Position in CP3
Weekly truth feeds the EV Scorecard, informs the SDE's rolling windows, and supplies the Throttle Control Panel's weekly context. A wrong week tag propagates — which is why the weekly review checklist starts by confirming every trade for the week is entered with correct closed status.
The rollup contract
04Every weekly figure is formula-derived from Journal rows — hit rates, branch EVs, blend outputs, quota counts. The no-retyping contract means a wrong weekly number always traces to a wrong journal row, never to a transcription slip, which is what makes the Saturday reconciliation a real audit instead of a hopeful comparison.
Further illustration
Each closed trade logs its worst adverse excursion and best favorable excursion. The lab plots them into quadrants and pairs the picture with capture efficiency, giveback, and fee drag - then the EV Driver Diagnostics rank which repair (entry location, coefficient, trail logic, cost avoidance) would move net expectancy most.
Every trade plotted by pain taken (MAE) versus opportunity generated (MFE). The four quadrants diagnose entry precision and exit management at a glance.
Doctrine
Connected inside MARS
Go deeper
Deep dive — 01
Short enough to act on, long enough to mean something — and only one window is both.
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Deep dive — 02
A wrong weekly number always traces to a wrong Journal row. There is no third possibility.
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Deep dive — 03
The blend is green. One branch is carrying it. Both facts are true and only one is visible.
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